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2021-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 27.5% 72.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% -
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.1% 41.9% -
Efficiency 74.2% 25.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.0% 32.0% -
Log Adjusted 67.9% 32.1% -
Points Off/Def 58.4% 41.6% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -7 (99-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 37 5-16 1-6 0-0 9 6 1 3 11 - -
Terry Rozier * 37 11-22 3-11 2-4 3 5 6 1 27 - -
LaMelo Ball * 25 7-17 4-9 4-4 4 4 0 0 22 - -
Gordon Hayward * 24 0-6 0-4 1-2 3 2 2 0 1 - -
Mason Plumlee * 21 2-3 0-0 3-3 8 2 0 1 7 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 34 7-17 3-8 4-5 6 0 0 0 21 - -
Cody Martin 27 3-4 1-1 1-1 5 6 2 2 8 - -
Jalen McDaniels 17 3-5 0-1 1-2 7 1 0 1 7 - -
Nick Richards 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 - -
P.J. Washington 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Harris * 35 5-13 3-8 0-0 3 4 1 0 13 - -
Franz Wagner * 32 7-12 2-2 0-0 7 4 0 0 16 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 32 6-9 1-4 1-1 11 2 2 0 14 - -
Mo Bamba * 31 7-15 4-7 0-0 12 0 0 0 18 - -
Jalen Suggs * 30 6-14 0-5 5-7 4 6 1 1 17 - -
Mychal Mulder 23 2-8 2-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
R.J. Hampton 22 0-7 0-2 0-0 3 6 0 0 0 - -
Chuma Okeke 20 1-7 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 - -
Moritz Wagner 12 4-8 3-6 2-2 4 0 0 0 13 - -

* = starter