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2021-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% -
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% -
Margin 42.0% 58.0% +1.8 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% -
Efficiency 58.6% 41.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.5% 35.5% -
Log Adjusted 64.5% 35.5% -
Points Off/Def 55.0% 45.0% -

Actual: LA Clippers -8 (104-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dorian Finney-Smith * 48 7-14 2-8 1-2 3 1 3 1 17 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 41 5-17 2-10 1-2 5 2 1 0 13 - -
Luka Doncic * 41 9-21 4-11 4-4 9 9 1 2 26 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 40 9-16 2-5 10-10 7 1 1 1 30 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Maxi Kleber 35 2-6 1-3 3-4 9 6 2 1 8 - -
Jalen Brunson 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 4 - -
Trey Burke 10 1-3 0-1 3-3 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Sterling Brown 10 3-5 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Dwight Powell 8 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Boban Marjanovic 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 48 7-23 1-6 11-12 9 6 0 1 26 - -
Reggie Jackson * 42 12-23 3-8 4-6 10 2 3 0 31 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 30 4-12 2-7 0-1 5 0 0 2 10 - -
Ivica Zubac * 25 3-5 0-0 4-4 7 2 0 0 10 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 24 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 - -
Luke Kennard 31 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Amir Coffey 24 2-5 1-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Terance Mann 19 2-5 1-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 7 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Serge Ibaka 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -
Justise Winslow 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter