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2021-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 50.1% 49.9% -
Bradley-Terry 62.9% 37.1% -
Margin 73.8% 26.2% -5.7 (24.7 off)
Pythagorean 64.1% 35.9% -
Efficiency 80.4% 19.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.8% 21.2% -
Log Adjusted 78.9% 21.1% -
Points Off/Def 67.7% 32.3% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +19 (119-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeff Green * 34 9-16 3-4 3-3 4 3 0 3 24 - -
Will Barton * 34 4-10 3-6 0-0 8 7 0 0 11 - -
Aaron Gordon * 32 5-9 0-1 1-1 3 3 0 0 11 - -
Monte Morris * 30 7-11 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 16 - -
JaMychal Green * 26 3-9 1-4 2-2 5 2 1 0 9 - -
Facundo Campazzo 28 2-4 2-4 2-3 2 5 3 0 8 - -
Austin Rivers 20 3-6 2-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 8 - -
Zeke Nnaji 14 3-6 2-4 0-0 7 0 0 2 8 - -
P.J. Dozier 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Markus Howard 3 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Bol Bol 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Petr Cornelie 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Vlatko Cancar 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 34 13-19 5-9 1-3 3 3 2 0 32 - -
Damian Lillard * 31 9-13 5-8 2-2 3 5 1 0 25 - -
Robert Covington * 27 3-6 1-4 2-2 7 2 1 3 9 - -
Norman Powell * 26 5-10 1-5 4-6 2 3 3 1 15 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 24 2-6 0-0 2-2 7 3 1 1 6 - -
Nassir Little 23 5-9 1-3 2-3 5 1 1 0 13 - -
Anfernee Simons 22 6-12 2-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 14 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 7 2 2 0 2 - -
Tony Snell 10 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Cody Zeller 9 0-3 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 1 1 - -
Greg Brown III 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
CJ Elleby 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Ben McLemore 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter