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2021-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% -
Bradley-Terry 36.3% 63.7% -
Margin 36.8% 63.2% +3.0 (35.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -
Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.4% 63.6% -
Log Adjusted 36.4% 63.6% -
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -32 (77-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malcolm Brogdon * 28 4-9 2-5 6-6 4 7 1 2 16 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 26 8-14 0-2 5-5 11 4 1 0 21 - -
Justin Holiday * 25 5-9 4-7 0-0 4 2 1 0 14 - -
Myles Turner * 25 5-9 2-2 0-1 10 1 0 4 12 - -
Caris LeVert * 20 6-9 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 1 12 - -
Chris Duarte 22 3-11 2-6 1-2 6 3 1 1 9 - -
T.J. McConnell 20 1-4 0-0 2-2 6 3 0 0 4 - -
Kelan Martin 19 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 7 - -
Torrey Craig 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 2 4 - -
Jeremy Lamb 9 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Brad Wanamaker 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Oshae Brissett 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Goga Bitadze 6 0-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Jackson 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 26 7-18 3-7 0-1 2 3 0 0 17 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 26 8-16 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 18 - -
Lonzo Ball * 25 0-7 0-4 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 - -
Coby White * 24 2-10 0-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 4 - -
Tony Bradley * 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 30 2-9 1-4 1-2 5 2 0 0 6 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 23 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 7 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 18 2-3 0-0 4-6 5 0 1 0 8 - -
Javonte Green 16 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 0 3 - -
Matt Thomas 12 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Devon Dotson 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Marko Simonovic 6 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Alize Johnson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter