Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.1% | 85.9% | +9.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +18 (108-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Gordon * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks | 25 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 21 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 18 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 33 | 10-22 | 1-9 | 9-9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 24 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 22 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 28 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 19 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Enes Kanter | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 6 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter