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2021-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 66.6% 33.4% -
Bradley-Terry 54.4% 45.6% -
Margin 62.1% 37.9% -2.7 (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 32.8% 67.2% -
Efficiency 16.5% 83.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.3% 80.7% -
Log Adjusted 19.2% 80.8% -
Points Off/Def 24.2% 75.8% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +12 (113-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Bazley * 32 2-11 0-4 0-0 4 3 0 1 4 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * 31 4-9 2-5 3-4 10 1 1 1 13 - -
Josh Giddey * 31 6-13 0-5 3-3 7 8 1 2 15 - -
Luguentz Dort * 30 5-16 3-8 2-2 5 1 0 0 15 - -
Derrick Favors * 17 5-9 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 10 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 21 4-13 1-5 0-0 9 2 0 0 9 - -
Aaron Wiggins 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Mike Muscala 16 4-11 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Ty Jerome 15 4-7 2-4 5-5 1 4 3 0 15 - -
Kenrich Williams 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 4 - -
Isaiah Roby 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Gabriel Deck 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Collins * 34 4-8 1-3 2-2 6 5 1 5 11 - -
Trae Young * 31 9-20 5-9 7-7 4 6 1 0 30 - -
Clint Capela * 29 5-9 0-0 0-0 14 0 0 0 10 - -
Kevin Huerter * 29 6-10 1-3 0-0 5 5 1 0 13 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 27 5-13 3-8 0-0 5 0 1 0 13 - -
Danilo Gallinari 25 4-5 1-2 2-2 6 3 1 1 11 - -
Cam Reddish 22 4-11 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 9 - -
Lou Williams 16 3-6 1-2 1-2 0 3 0 0 8 - -
Delon Wright 14 2-3 1-2 3-3 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Skylar Mays 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Gorgui Dieng 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Sharife Cooper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter