🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 24.2% 75.8% +6.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -
Efficiency 32.2% 67.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.7% 67.3% -
Log Adjusted 32.6% 67.4% -
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +15 (119-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 38 6-18 3-12 2-2 4 7 1 1 17 - -
Pascal Siakam * 34 8-17 3-6 2-5 6 2 1 1 21 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 28 3-16 3-8 2-2 2 0 0 0 11 - -
Scottie Barnes * 28 3-11 2-3 2-7 13 5 2 0 10 - -
Khem Birch * 21 3-7 0-0 1-1 5 1 1 2 7 - -
Precious Achiuwa 26 5-9 1-1 1-1 8 3 0 0 12 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 20 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 7 - -
Dalano Banton 20 3-7 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 7 - -
Chris Boucher 13 4-7 1-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 10 - -
Malachi Flynn 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 37 2-10 1-6 7-7 2 8 1 0 12 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 32 12-20 6-8 2-2 6 3 0 1 32 - -
Draymond Green * 31 1-3 0-1 2-2 14 8 0 1 4 - -
Jordan Poole * 30 10-13 8-11 5-6 4 4 0 0 33 - -
Kevon Looney * 26 3-4 0-0 1-4 10 4 2 2 7 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 22 5-11 5-9 0-0 6 1 1 0 15 - -
Chris Chiozza 20 4-9 2-6 1-1 2 1 1 0 11 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 2 2 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Damion Lee 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 3 0-4 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Moses Moody 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter