Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✓ (27.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +29 (126-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 28 | 4-15 | 0-4 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green * | 24 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 27 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 26 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| P.J. Dozier | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 10 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Petr Cornelie | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 27 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 26 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 24 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 23 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 23 | 9-15 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 21 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Elfrid Payton | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chandler Hutchison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter