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2021-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 13.0% 87.0% -
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% -
Margin 40.0% 60.0% +2.2 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% -
Efficiency 63.5% 36.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.7% 40.3% -
Log Adjusted 59.7% 40.3% -
Points Off/Def 51.4% 48.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -5 (116-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 39 11-19 0-1 8-10 10 6 4 5 30 36 -
Russell Westbrook * 34 10-21 1-6 5-8 9 10 2 0 26 26 -
Avery Bradley * 26 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 1 -
LeBron James * 21 4-7 1-3 1-1 1 5 0 0 10 9 -
DeAndre Jordan * 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 6 13 -
Talen Horton-Tucker 32 4-13 0-2 0-0 6 3 1 0 8 5 -
Carmelo Anthony 29 5-8 5-8 3-3 2 0 0 2 18 14 -
Dwight Howard 13 5-6 2-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 13 12 -
Malik Monk 12 2-3 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 6 8 -
Wayne Ellington 11 1-5 1-5 1-1 1 0 0 0 4 0 -
Rajon Rondo 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cory Joseph * 38 1-4 1-3 2-2 4 7 1 0 5 13 -
Cade Cunningham * 38 6-21 1-9 0-0 12 10 2 0 13 16 -
Jerami Grant * 37 12-25 5-9 7-10 4 3 1 0 36 19 -
Saddiq Bey * 34 6-13 2-7 0-0 4 2 1 0 14 8 -
Isaiah Stewart * 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 4 3 -
Frank Jackson 25 5-11 3-6 2-2 2 0 0 3 15 9 -
Hamidou Diallo 21 7-9 1-1 2-2 6 1 2 1 17 18 -
Josh Jackson 15 2-4 0-1 1-2 4 3 0 1 5 9 -
Trey Lyles 11 2-6 1-4 2-3 2 0 0 0 7 3 -

* = starter