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2021-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% -
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% -
Margin 42.0% 58.0% +1.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% -
Efficiency 58.6% 41.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.5% 35.5% -
Log Adjusted 64.5% 35.5% -
Points Off/Def 55.0% 45.0% -

Actual: LA Clippers +6 (97-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 35 2-12 1-4 3-3 6 5 0 0 8 - -
Jalen Brunson * 34 7-13 1-4 5-5 4 8 3 0 20 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 31 10-18 0-4 5-6 8 2 0 2 25 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 24 2-6 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 7 - -
Dwight Powell * 18 4-7 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 9 - -
Reggie Bullock 31 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 - -
Maxi Kleber 20 2-7 1-5 0-0 4 0 0 1 5 - -
Trey Burke 13 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 4 - -
Frank Ntilikina 8 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 1 3 - -
Sterling Brown 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Boban Marjanovic 3 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 37 12-25 3-8 2-2 4 6 1 0 29 - -
Reggie Jackson * 35 8-14 4-8 3-4 2 4 0 0 23 - -
Ivica Zubac * 26 6-7 0-0 4-6 10 0 0 0 16 - -
Amir Coffey * 25 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 25 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Luke Kennard 34 3-8 3-7 0-0 3 2 2 1 9 - -
Terance Mann 26 2-4 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Serge Ibaka 12 2-8 0-2 2-4 4 0 1 0 6 - -
Justise Winslow 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 - -

* = starter