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2021-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% -
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% -
Margin 39.6% 60.4% +2.3 (40.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% -
Efficiency 58.5% 41.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.8% 42.2% -
Log Adjusted 57.8% 42.2% -
Points Off/Def 50.7% 49.3% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +43 (138-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 26 3-9 0-3 5-6 0 5 1 0 11 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 25 2-9 0-2 8-10 4 2 0 1 12 - -
Desmond Bane * 25 6-13 4-8 5-6 5 0 0 0 21 - -
Kyle Anderson * 20 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Steven Adams * 17 1-1 0-0 4-6 2 1 0 1 6 - -
John Konchar 21 0-3 0-2 0-0 7 4 1 0 0 - -
Ziaire Williams 20 3-9 1-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 7 - -
Xavier Tillman 19 3-11 0-2 2-2 4 1 2 1 8 - -
Tyus Jones 17 5-9 3-3 3-3 2 2 1 1 16 - -
Brandon Clarke 17 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 1 3 - -
Santi Aldama 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Jarrett Culver 7 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 - -
Killian Tillie 6 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 27 9-15 4-9 6-9 4 5 0 0 28 - -
Anthony Edwards * 26 8-10 5-6 2-2 0 2 0 0 23 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 24 2-4 0-0 1-2 10 3 3 2 5 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 23 8-15 1-2 4-5 5 2 1 1 21 - -
Patrick Beverley * 22 4-7 3-3 0-0 5 4 2 1 11 - -
Malik Beasley 21 4-9 4-8 0-0 3 3 1 0 12 - -
Jaden McDaniels 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 - -
Taurean Prince 16 3-7 1-4 2-2 2 4 0 0 9 - -
Naz Reid 15 2-6 0-1 0-1 6 1 1 2 4 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 15 3-4 1-2 1-1 1 0 1 0 8 - -
Nathan Knight 8 2-2 0-0 2-4 3 3 1 0 6 - -
Jaylen Nowell 7 1-5 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Jake Layman 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Leandro Bolmaro 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter