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2021-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 44.5% 55.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% -
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 28.0% 72.0% -
Efficiency 7.6% 92.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.0% 91.0% -
Log Adjusted 8.9% 91.1% -
Points Off/Def 16.7% 83.3% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +6 (111-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luguentz Dort * 35 5-15 4-9 2-2 4 3 0 0 16 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 34 4-13 3-7 3-5 3 3 0 0 14 - -
Darius Bazley * 33 2-11 0-3 0-1 10 6 1 0 4 - -
Josh Giddey * 28 5-13 4-6 1-2 8 3 1 0 15 - -
Derrick Favors * 19 4-6 1-1 0-0 6 0 1 0 9 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 27 5-11 3-7 0-0 8 1 0 0 13 - -
Kenrich Williams 18 3-6 0-1 1-2 5 2 1 0 7 - -
Ty Jerome 14 5-7 1-2 1-1 1 1 1 0 12 - -
Isaiah Roby 9 4-9 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 9 - -
Aaron Wiggins 9 2-4 1-3 1-3 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 36 13-22 3-7 0-0 4 6 0 0 29 - -
Grant Williams * 35 5-9 4-6 0-0 8 1 1 2 14 - -
Marcus Smart * 34 2-6 1-2 2-2 1 8 2 1 7 - -
Jayson Tatum * 33 11-22 6-12 5-7 8 5 0 1 33 - -
Al Horford * 30 4-9 1-3 1-1 11 7 0 1 10 - -
Josh Richardson 25 2-6 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Enes Kanter 16 3-6 0-0 4-4 10 0 1 2 10 - -
Aaron Nesmith 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Romeo Langford 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 6 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Brodric Thomas 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Bruno Fernando 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Sam Hauser 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter