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2021-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 28.8% 71.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.8% 70.2% - โœ“
Margin 25.7% 74.3% +5.8 โœ“ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 39.6% 60.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.4% 61.6% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +10 (115-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 38 15-28 2-9 3-5 10 3 0 0 35 - -
Gordon Hayward * 34 4-9 1-5 2-2 8 4 2 1 11 - -
LaMelo Ball * 34 5-18 3-7 2-2 10 11 2 1 15 - -
Terry Rozier * 30 4-13 1-5 1-2 4 4 0 0 10 - -
Mason Plumlee * 19 3-5 0-0 1-4 2 1 1 0 7 - -
Cody Martin 30 6-11 2-4 0-0 8 0 1 0 14 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 27 4-14 0-7 0-0 7 1 0 0 8 - -
Jalen McDaniels 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Ish Smith 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 34 5-15 2-7 7-7 4 9 1 0 19 - -
Kevin Huerter * 33 6-10 4-7 1-2 2 4 0 0 17 - -
John Collins * 33 7-10 0-2 1-2 8 3 0 3 15 - -
Clint Capela * 23 10-11 0-0 0-0 15 1 0 2 20 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 23 3-9 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 7 - -
Danilo Gallinari 31 3-7 2-4 8-8 6 2 3 1 16 - -
Cam Reddish 26 7-13 3-6 0-2 6 0 0 0 17 - -
Delon Wright 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 - -
Lou Williams 12 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 - -
Gorgui Dieng 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter