Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +10 (115-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 38 | 15-28 | 2-9 | 3-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 20 | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 34 | 5-18 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Cody Martin | 30 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 27 | 4-14 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Ish Smith | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 34 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 33 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - | |
| John Collins * | 33 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 23 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 27 | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 31 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 26 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Lou Williams | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter