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2021-11-21

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 42.8% 57.2% -
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% -
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -
Efficiency 57.2% 42.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.2% 43.8% -
Log Adjusted 56.2% 43.8% -
Points Off/Def 49.6% 50.4% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +17 (111-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 25 4-14 1-2 3-3 3 4 0 0 12 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 25 2-9 0-2 2-2 2 4 1 1 6 - -
Josh Hart * 23 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 7 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 23 8-15 1-1 2-2 13 2 0 1 19 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 26 5-11 1-4 1-2 3 0 0 0 12 - -
Trey Murphy III 20 2-2 2-2 2-2 6 1 2 1 8 - -
Jaxson Hayes 18 2-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Herbert Jones 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 1 2 - -
Naji Marshall 12 3-8 0-3 8-8 6 3 0 0 14 - -
Jose Alvarado 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Garrett Temple 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Willy Hernangomez 5 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malcolm Brogdon * 25 6-8 4-6 0-0 2 4 1 0 16 - -
Myles Turner * 25 5-7 1-3 0-0 9 1 1 2 11 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 21 6-11 2-3 6-8 10 6 2 0 20 - -
Justin Holiday * 20 6-11 4-7 1-2 0 2 0 0 17 - -
Caris LeVert * 16 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 5 - -
Kelan Martin 26 4-12 1-3 3-4 2 3 1 0 12 - -
Chris Duarte 22 4-10 0-1 0-0 4 1 2 0 8 - -
T.J. McConnell 19 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 5 2 2 6 - -
Torrey Craig 19 3-5 1-3 0-0 5 2 1 1 7 - -
Goga Bitadze 15 1-6 0-4 1-2 3 1 0 3 3 - -
Brad Wanamaker 8 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Oshae Brissett 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Jeremy Lamb 8 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 4 - -

* = starter