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2021-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 46.4% 53.6% -
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% -
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 33.5% 66.5% -
Efficiency 19.1% 80.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.6% 79.4% -
Log Adjusted 20.6% 79.4% -
Points Off/Def 25.7% 74.3% -

Actual: New York Knicks +7 (106-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Wood * 36 6-11 1-3 5-7 12 3 0 2 18 - -
Eric Gordon * 36 5-17 2-9 3-6 3 5 0 2 15 - -
Jalen Green * 36 7-11 2-5 0-1 2 2 0 0 16 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 30 5-12 1-5 0-0 10 3 1 2 11 - -
Daniel Theis * 23 1-6 0-4 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 - -
Alperen Sengun 23 4-8 1-1 1-2 6 3 0 0 10 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 21 5-6 0-1 0-1 3 1 2 1 10 - -
Garrison Mathews 15 3-8 2-7 0-0 5 1 0 0 8 - -
D.J. Augustin 11 2-5 1-4 4-5 1 2 2 0 9 - -
Danuel House Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Armoni Brooks 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 33 4-15 2-6 6-8 10 9 0 0 16 - -
Evan Fournier * 30 7-13 5-10 0-0 2 2 1 1 19 - -
RJ Barrett * 25 4-13 1-5 2-2 1 2 2 0 11 - -
Kemba Walker * 21 3-7 2-4 1-2 2 3 2 0 9 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 6 - -
Nerlens Noel 29 0-2 0-1 2-2 6 1 0 3 2 - -
Alec Burks 25 6-8 6-7 2-2 5 3 5 0 20 - -
Immanuel Quickley 21 3-5 2-4 5-6 1 0 0 0 13 - -
Derrick Rose 20 2-8 0-2 0-0 1 4 1 2 4 - -
Obi Toppin 14 1-3 0-2 4-4 4 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter