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2021-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 59.0% 41.0% -
Bradley-Terry 50.3% 49.7% -
Margin 51.3% 48.7% -0.3 (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 56.0% 44.0% -
Efficiency 70.8% 29.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.7% 31.3% -
Log Adjusted 68.8% 31.2% -
Points Off/Def 58.3% 41.7% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -19 (89-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 36 8-17 5-11 2-2 4 1 0 1 23 - -
Scottie Barnes * 33 1-8 0-0 0-0 7 6 1 1 2 - -
Fred VanVleet * 31 5-14 2-7 1-1 3 6 2 0 13 - -
Pascal Siakam * 30 10-12 3-3 9-10 8 1 0 2 32 - -
Khem Birch * 22 4-7 0-1 2-4 9 1 4 2 10 - -
Precious Achiuwa 24 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 23 3-9 1-4 3-4 12 1 1 2 10 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 19 3-8 1-5 1-1 2 0 1 1 8 - -
Dalano Banton 10 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Malachi Flynn 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Justin Champagnie 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 26 8-13 0-1 1-3 1 3 2 0 17 - -
Harrison Barnes * 25 3-9 0-2 8-8 1 3 1 0 14 - -
Chimezie Metu * 25 4-11 2-5 0-0 9 0 1 1 10 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 24 3-5 2-4 0-0 4 0 3 1 8 - -
Richaun Holmes * 22 2-5 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Davion Mitchell 25 2-10 1-5 0-2 4 4 0 0 5 - -
Buddy Hield 25 3-13 3-12 1-2 1 2 0 0 10 - -
Marvin Bagley III 16 1-4 0-2 2-5 6 1 0 0 4 - -
Damian Jones 16 2-5 0-1 2-2 9 0 0 1 6 - -
Terence Davis 15 4-7 1-4 0-1 1 0 1 0 9 - -
Tristan Thompson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Jahmi'us Ramsey 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Robert Woodard II 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter