Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +8 (112-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 35 | 7-21 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 34 | 7-19 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 33 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 29 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 27 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 17 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 14 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 36 | 7-7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 30 | 7-20 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 22 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 20 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 15 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chandler Hutchison | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter