Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | -0.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +7 (96-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 5-20 | 2-12 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 32 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 20 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 17 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 14 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 35 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 9-11 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 31 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 31 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 29 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 25 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Robinson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter