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2021-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% -
Bradley-Terry 25.1% 74.9% -
Margin 11.9% 88.1% +11.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.0% 65.0% -
Efficiency 16.8% 83.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% -
Log Adjusted 16.6% 83.4% -
Points Off/Def 23.0% 77.0% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +22 (130-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 36 12-21 0-3 7-9 6 2 0 3 31 - -
LeBron James * 32 10-16 3-7 0-1 6 2 2 0 23 - -
Russell Westbrook * 31 5-13 1-4 1-4 4 6 1 0 12 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker * 26 0-6 0-1 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 - -
Avery Bradley * 26 2-4 2-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 6 - -
Carmelo Anthony 25 3-6 3-4 4-4 4 0 0 1 13 - -
Malik Monk 24 3-7 2-4 1-1 1 2 0 1 9 - -
Wayne Ellington 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Rajon Rondo 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 - -
Dwight Howard 9 2-2 1-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 7 - -
Kent Bazemore 4 2-4 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 1 5 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 34 8-14 1-4 4-4 6 6 0 0 21 - -
Jayson Tatum * 33 13-26 4-9 7-7 11 2 3 1 37 - -
Al Horford * 32 5-9 1-3 7-10 4 4 1 1 18 - -
Marcus Smart * 30 9-13 1-2 3-5 8 6 1 0 22 - -
Grant Williams * 27 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Josh Richardson 29 5-11 1-3 4-6 4 0 0 0 15 - -
Romeo Langford 21 0-4 0-2 2-2 5 0 1 0 2 - -
Enes Kanter 15 1-3 1-1 2-2 7 1 0 0 5 - -
Payton Pritchard 8 1-3 1-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Aaron Nesmith 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter