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2021-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 27.8% 72.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 57.9% 42.1% - ✓
Margin 65.6% 34.4% -3.5 ✓ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 64.6% 35.4% - ✓
Efficiency 84.9% 15.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 83.6% 16.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 83.7% 16.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 72.2% 27.8% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons -3 (102-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 37 13-22 4-8 2-2 7 2 0 0 32 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 37 1-6 0-2 0-0 6 9 1 1 2 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 36 9-19 1-4 8-11 5 1 2 1 27 - -
Gary Payton II * 29 4-5 3-4 1-2 3 0 2 1 12 - -
Kevon Looney * 26 1-6 0-0 0-0 12 2 0 1 2 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 21 5-8 2-5 2-2 8 2 1 0 14 - -
Damion Lee 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Chris Chiozza 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 6 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 11 1-6 0-2 4-4 3 2 1 0 6 - -
Moses Moody 8 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 36 6-12 3-8 4-4 6 6 3 2 19 - -
Saddiq Bey * 36 3-14 1-6 0-0 5 3 0 1 7 - -
Jerami Grant * 34 6-17 3-10 4-6 4 2 2 3 19 - -
Killian Hayes * 18 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Frank Jackson 32 8-15 5-12 6-6 2 0 3 0 27 - -
Cory Joseph 29 2-5 0-1 4-5 2 5 2 0 8 - -
Trey Lyles 16 1-3 0-1 2-4 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Hamidou Diallo 13 3-5 0-0 4-5 5 1 0 1 10 - -
Luka Garza 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter