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2021-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 34.8% 65.2% -
Bradley-Terry 52.2% 47.8% -
Margin 51.7% 48.3% -0.4 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.7% 61.3% -
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% -
Points Off/Def 36.8% 63.2% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +3 (121-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 22 3-6 0-3 2-4 6 1 1 1 8 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 22 6-10 2-5 2-2 1 2 0 1 16 - -
Myles Turner * 19 1-5 0-2 2-2 4 1 0 2 4 - -
Caris LeVert * 18 3-8 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Chris Duarte * 13 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Torrey Craig 23 5-9 1-4 3-4 7 1 0 0 14 - -
T.J. McConnell 21 3-6 0-0 0-0 0 3 3 0 6 - -
Goga Bitadze 21 3-8 1-4 4-8 4 0 2 1 11 - -
Brad Wanamaker 20 3-7 1-3 5-5 3 0 1 0 12 - -
Kelan Martin 18 3-8 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 7 - -
Jeremy Lamb 15 6-9 4-7 7-7 3 5 3 1 23 - -
Justin Holiday 14 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Oshae Brissett 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 39 12-22 4-9 4-4 11 8 1 0 32 - -
Miles Bridges * 34 4-10 2-5 4-4 6 1 1 1 14 - -
Gordon Hayward * 30 9-15 1-4 6-7 4 3 3 2 25 - -
Mason Plumlee * 24 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 3 1 1 5 - -
Terry Rozier * 22 4-9 0-4 2-3 5 3 0 0 10 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 30 6-11 3-7 1-2 3 0 1 0 16 - -
Cody Martin 26 5-7 1-1 1-2 4 5 0 1 12 - -
Jalen McDaniels 15 2-2 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 1 5 - -
Ish Smith 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 1 1 - -
Nick Richards 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 - -

* = starter