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2021-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 26.0% 74.0% -
Bradley-Terry 32.0% 68.0% -
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.5 (19.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.9% 50.1% -
Log Adjusted 49.8% 50.2% -
Points Off/Def 45.0% 55.0% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets -14 (89-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Seth Curry * 37 8-17 2-8 2-2 6 5 1 0 20 - -
Georges Niang * 34 4-8 3-6 0-0 5 3 0 1 11 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 34 9-15 2-3 2-4 5 4 1 1 22 - -
Tobias Harris * 31 8-18 1-3 0-2 7 2 1 1 17 - -
Andre Drummond * 28 2-5 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 0 4 - -
Shake Milton 28 5-8 2-4 0-0 5 4 0 1 12 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 21 2-5 1-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 5 - -
Charles Bassey 19 5-7 0-1 2-3 7 0 1 3 12 - -
Isaiah Joe 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokic * 35 10-17 3-4 7-9 10 7 0 1 30 - -
Will Barton * 34 7-14 4-6 1-1 9 8 0 0 19 - -
Monte Morris * 32 5-13 1-3 0-0 3 4 2 0 11 - -
Aaron Gordon * 30 4-13 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 1 9 - -
Jeff Green * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Austin Rivers 20 2-8 1-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 5 - -
P.J. Dozier 15 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Bones Hyland 14 0-7 0-5 2-2 3 0 0 1 2 - -
JaMychal Green 8 2-4 1-3 1-2 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Markus Howard 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Facundo Campazzo 7 0-3 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Bol Bol 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Petr Cornelie 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter