Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | +10.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +15 (112-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma * | 40 | 7-12 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 28 | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell * | 36 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 36 | 11-18 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 24 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 24 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - | |
| Deni Avdija | 19 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Raul Neto | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Isaiah Todd | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Joel Ayayi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 11-19 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 25 | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 31 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 30 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 25 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| Max Strus | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | |
| Marcus Garrett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter