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2021-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 41.9% 58.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% - ✗
Margin 38.2% 61.8% +2.6 ✗ (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% - ✓
Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 62.9% 37.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 62.9% 37.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.3% 45.7% - ✓

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -15 (89-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 35 15-27 9-16 1-1 4 6 2 0 40 - -
Draymond Green * 29 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 14 1 1 4 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 24 5-11 0-5 2-2 0 2 0 1 12 - -
Jordan Poole * 23 3-10 1-5 1-1 2 2 1 0 8 - -
Kevon Looney * 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 23 6-11 2-6 0-0 3 3 3 0 14 - -
Damion Lee 22 5-8 1-3 0-0 6 2 1 0 11 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Gary Payton II 15 1-1 1-1 3-4 6 0 1 0 6 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 15 3-3 1-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 7 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 6 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Chiozza 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Moses Moody 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaac Okoro * 43 4-10 0-4 2-4 7 3 2 0 10 - -
Dean Wade * 40 7-13 3-6 0-0 9 5 0 0 17 - -
Darius Garland * 38 10-22 4-11 1-1 1 5 2 0 25 - -
Ricky Rubio * 37 4-15 1-5 1-2 0 5 2 0 10 - -
Ed Davis * 28 3-3 0-0 1-2 14 1 0 2 7 - -
Kevin Love 21 5-12 4-10 3-3 7 2 0 0 17 - -
Dylan Windler 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 8 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Tacko Fall 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 1 0 - -
RJ Nembhard Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Pangos 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter