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2021-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 28.8% 71.2% -
Bradley-Terry 53.0% 47.0% -
Margin 58.7% 41.3% -1.9 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 62.0% 38.0% -
Efficiency 73.5% 26.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.9% 25.1% -
Log Adjusted 75.0% 25.0% -
Points Off/Def 63.8% 36.2% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +5 (112-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 37 11-20 7-12 1-2 6 2 0 1 30 - -
Lonzo Ball * 37 7-13 3-5 0-0 4 4 2 2 17 - -
Alex Caruso * 37 3-9 1-4 5-6 10 9 2 2 12 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 36 7-19 1-5 7-8 4 5 1 2 22 - -
Tony Bradley * 21 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 6 - -
Javonte Green 20 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 20 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 6 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 17 3-3 1-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 8 - -
Coby White 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Alize Johnson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 40 6-18 3-9 7-7 4 10 1 1 22 - -
CJ McCollum * 37 4-14 1-5 0-0 3 5 0 0 9 - -
Norman Powell * 35 6-11 2-2 4-4 2 2 1 0 18 - -
Robert Covington * 24 4-7 2-5 0-0 3 3 3 2 10 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 22 8-13 0-0 2-2 12 1 1 1 18 - -
Nassir Little 24 1-7 0-4 4-4 7 0 0 0 6 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 24 6-9 2-3 2-2 9 3 3 1 16 - -
Anfernee Simons 17 1-3 0-1 4-5 1 2 1 0 6 - -
Tony Snell 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Cody Zeller 4 0-0 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter