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2021-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.1 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% -
Log Adjusted 46.1% 53.9% -
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +12 (101-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Gordon * 38 6-13 3-6 0-0 5 5 1 1 15 - -
Jalen Green * 36 6-14 3-9 6-6 3 2 1 0 21 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 34 6-13 1-1 3-4 8 2 1 0 16 - -
Christian Wood * 28 4-16 0-4 2-6 14 0 0 1 10 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 12 0-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Daniel Theis 24 4-8 2-5 0-0 5 2 2 0 10 - -
Garrison Mathews 21 2-6 2-6 1-1 2 0 0 1 7 - -
D.J. Augustin 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 12 3-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
David Nwaba 6 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Armoni Brooks 5 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Alperen Sengun 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luguentz Dort * 36 14-22 4-11 2-4 8 2 0 1 34 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 36 6-18 1-8 2-2 7 9 4 1 15 - -
Josh Giddey * 33 7-14 0-2 0-0 11 2 0 1 14 - -
Darius Bazley * 25 3-10 1-3 0-0 8 0 0 0 7 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * 24 3-9 0-5 2-2 9 1 2 1 8 - -
Kenrich Williams 18 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Derrick Favors 17 1-2 0-0 1-4 4 0 1 0 3 - -
Mike Muscala 14 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 6 - -
Ty Jerome 11 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 10 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 - -
Tre Mann 10 2-4 1-3 2-2 1 0 2 0 7 - -
Aaron Wiggins 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter