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2021-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 16.7% 83.3% -
Bradley-Terry 28.9% 71.1% -
Margin 18.7% 81.3% +8.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% -
Efficiency 22.2% 77.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.0% 76.0% -
Log Adjusted 23.9% 76.1% -
Points Off/Def 28.3% 71.7% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +10 (107-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 36 10-20 2-5 6-8 1 5 0 0 28 14 -
Harrison Barnes * 34 3-10 1-2 6-6 5 2 1 1 13 12 -
Tyrese Haliburton * 34 3-10 1-5 0-0 5 3 2 0 7 7 -
Richaun Holmes * 29 6-10 0-1 0-1 7 0 0 1 12 10 -
Chimezie Metu * 25 2-8 0-4 0-0 8 2 0 1 4 7 -
Buddy Hield 29 5-17 5-14 1-2 3 2 0 0 16 4 -
Davion Mitchell 21 2-7 1-5 2-2 4 4 3 0 7 11 -
Tristan Thompson 17 2-6 0-0 4-6 9 0 1 0 8 12 -
Marvin Bagley III 11 1-5 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 3 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 39 11-24 4-10 0-0 5 1 0 1 26 9 -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 36 9-12 1-4 3-3 6 4 0 2 22 22 -
D'Angelo Russell * 34 6-15 1-6 4-4 4 7 2 1 17 16 -
Patrick Beverley * 34 5-12 0-5 4-4 6 7 1 3 14 19 -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 24 1-1 0-0 2-2 7 0 2 1 4 13 -
Jaden McDaniels 20 3-5 1-1 0-1 3 0 1 0 7 6 -
Malik Beasley 18 1-5 1-5 1-2 2 0 1 0 4 2 -
Taurean Prince 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 5 2 -
Naz Reid 13 3-4 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 2 8 8 -
Jordan McLaughlin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Nathan Knight 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter