Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +15 (113-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hart * | 38 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 23 | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 37 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 31 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 27 | 8-18 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 13 | - | |
| Herbert Jones | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - | |
| Tomas Satoransky | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 7 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 10-18 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 34 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 36 | 7-19 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 25 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 20 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 27 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 23 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Max Strus | 21 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 11 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Udonis Haslem | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Marcus Garrett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter