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2021-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 78.9% 21.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 62.5% 37.5% - ✗
Margin 73.0% 27.0% -5.5 ✗ (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% - ✓
Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 48.5% 51.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 48.5% 51.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% - ✓

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +10 (109-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 40 10-26 3-13 1-1 5 6 3 0 24 - -
Isaac Okoro * 39 3-11 0-2 2-2 6 2 1 0 8 - -
Dean Wade * 37 3-8 2-6 3-4 5 2 2 0 11 - -
Ricky Rubio * 33 8-17 3-10 6-6 4 5 0 0 25 - -
Ed Davis * 23 3-6 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 1 6 - -
Kevin Love 21 4-10 1-5 2-2 9 2 0 0 11 - -
Cedi Osman 19 3-8 2-6 3-4 4 1 1 0 11 - -
Dylan Windler 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Tacko Fall 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 37 9-16 2-3 3-3 4 3 0 0 23 - -
James Harden * 36 6-12 3-6 12-12 10 7 2 1 27 - -
Patty Mills * 35 7-14 6-12 1-1 2 1 1 0 21 - -
Bruce Brown * 28 3-6 0-0 2-3 10 5 2 0 8 - -
Blake Griffin * 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 5 5 1 1 2 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge 30 11-19 0-2 2-2 7 2 0 1 24 - -
James Johnson 23 0-3 0-0 0-2 9 4 1 0 0 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jevon Carter 13 1-6 1-6 1-2 0 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter