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2021-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 63.7% 36.3% -
Bradley-Terry 60.9% 39.1% -
Margin 73.1% 26.9% -5.5 (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% -
Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% -
Log Adjusted 64.8% 35.2% -
Points Off/Def 54.8% 45.2% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +11 (110-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 12-22 5-12 5-6 9 5 0 1 34 - -
Marcus Smart * 35 3-10 0-4 2-2 3 11 2 0 8 - -
Al Horford * 32 5-9 1-4 2-4 7 2 2 1 13 - -
Dennis Schroder * 31 6-12 1-4 2-2 1 3 3 0 15 - -
Grant Williams * 30 6-12 3-8 3-3 6 0 0 0 18 - -
Josh Richardson 27 5-10 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 11 - -
Romeo Langford 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 - -
Enes Kanter 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 - -
Aaron Nesmith 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 1 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Bruno Fernando 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Brodric Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 35 4-12 0-6 10-10 0 11 1 0 18 - -
John Collins * 34 9-13 1-1 1-2 11 1 2 1 20 - -
Clint Capela * 31 4-7 0-1 1-2 12 3 1 1 9 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 31 4-12 4-10 0-0 1 6 0 0 12 - -
Kevin Huerter * 31 7-9 5-7 0-0 5 2 1 0 19 - -
Cam Reddish 26 8-14 1-6 2-2 2 1 3 1 19 - -
Danilo Gallinari 20 3-6 1-4 1-2 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Lou Williams 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 - -
Delon Wright 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 - -
Gorgui Dieng 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter