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2021-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 9.0% 91.0% -
Bradley-Terry 41.8% 58.2% -
Margin 40.3% 59.7% +2.2 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% -
Efficiency 61.4% 38.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% -
Log Adjusted 60.5% 39.5% -
Points Off/Def 51.5% 48.5% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +8 (97-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malcolm Brogdon * 35 8-17 3-9 1-2 5 4 0 0 20 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 34 4-7 0-1 7-10 11 1 0 1 15 - -
Myles Turner * 30 2-8 1-5 1-2 4 0 1 1 6 - -
Caris LeVert * 30 7-18 3-10 1-1 3 1 1 0 18 - -
Kelan Martin * 27 1-7 0-3 0-0 4 2 1 2 2 - -
T.J. McConnell 26 2-6 0-0 2-2 4 4 2 1 6 - -
Justin Holiday 21 3-7 1-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 7 - -
Torrey Craig 19 5-7 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 10 - -
Jeremy Lamb 9 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Goga Bitadze 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 34 5-14 0-5 9-12 3 0 2 0 19 - -
Saddiq Bey * 33 5-14 3-4 2-4 6 0 2 0 15 - -
Cade Cunningham * 33 6-18 1-8 3-4 8 6 2 1 16 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 31 2-5 0-0 3-3 11 2 0 2 7 - -
Killian Hayes * 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 4 3 1 4 - -
Cory Joseph 30 7-11 1-3 3-4 5 2 1 0 18 - -
Frank Jackson 26 4-7 3-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 11 - -
Trey Lyles 16 2-8 0-3 1-1 2 0 2 0 5 - -
Hamidou Diallo 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter