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2021-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% - ✓
Margin 29.0% 71.0% +4.9 ✓ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% - ✓
Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 37.3% 62.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 37.4% 62.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.7% 63.3% - ✓

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +10 (97-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 35 9-20 5-11 1-1 3 7 2 0 24 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 30 2-12 1-8 0-0 5 3 1 2 5 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 28 0-5 0-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 27 1-6 0-5 1-1 6 2 1 0 3 - -
Daniel Gafford * 24 9-12 0-0 2-5 9 1 2 1 20 - -
Deni Avdija 24 2-9 1-7 4-4 11 0 0 1 9 - -
Montrezl Harrell 22 6-9 0-0 3-3 9 2 0 1 15 - -
Raul Neto 17 1-6 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 - -
Aaron Holiday 12 1-6 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -
Corey Kispert 11 2-4 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Isaiah Todd 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Anthony Gill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Joel Ayayi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 37 8-15 1-4 0-1 10 5 0 1 17 - -
LaMelo Ball * 35 4-18 2-7 1-1 6 14 2 0 11 - -
Terry Rozier * 33 9-19 1-7 0-0 8 4 1 1 19 - -
Mason Plumlee * 25 5-7 0-0 1-2 13 2 1 0 11 - -
Gordon Hayward * 25 4-14 0-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 8 - -
Cody Martin 26 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 2 0 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 23 5-10 3-7 1-2 3 1 1 2 14 - -
Jalen McDaniels 17 4-5 3-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 11 - -
Nick Richards 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 6 - -
James Bouknight 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kai Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter