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2021-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 53.0% 47.0% -
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% -
Margin 45.5% 54.5% +1.0 (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% -
Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.4% 41.6% -
Log Adjusted 58.4% 41.6% -
Points Off/Def 51.2% 48.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -18 (103-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 37 10-13 7-10 0-0 7 8 2 0 27 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 35 15-23 2-5 6-6 3 6 1 1 38 - -
Alex Caruso * 34 0-1 0-1 0-0 6 5 2 0 0 - -
Zach LaVine * 34 10-22 6-13 0-0 5 5 0 0 26 - -
Tony Bradley * 27 3-5 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 6 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 20 2-7 0-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 16 6-7 0-0 1-3 3 2 1 1 13 - -
Javonte Green 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 - -
Coby White 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 3 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 - -
Matt Thomas 3 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Alize Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Talen Horton-Tucker * 37 9-19 4-9 6-6 6 2 1 0 28 - -
Russell Westbrook * 31 8-19 0-6 9-10 6 8 1 0 25 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 27 4-10 0-4 1-2 4 1 2 0 9 - -
Anthony Davis * 27 6-9 0-0 8-9 6 1 1 0 20 - -
Avery Bradley * 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 - -
Malik Monk 27 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 - -
Wayne Ellington 20 1-6 1-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 - -
Rajon Rondo 18 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 - -
Dwight Howard 13 2-3 0-0 1-4 6 0 2 2 5 - -
Kent Bazemore 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
DeAndre Jordan 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 4 - -

* = starter