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2021-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.3% 47.7% - โœ—
Margin 60.9% 39.1% -2.4 โœ— (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 64.5% 35.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 79.6% 20.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 79.7% 20.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 68.3% 31.7% - โœ—

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +5 (118-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
OG Anunoby * 40 9-19 6-10 5-6 6 2 3 0 29 - -
Fred VanVleet * 40 6-13 4-8 0-0 6 7 2 1 16 - -
Pascal Siakam * 39 7-15 2-6 4-4 6 6 0 1 20 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 39 8-16 2-6 0-0 6 1 2 0 18 - -
Scottie Barnes * 39 6-14 0-1 6-6 8 2 0 0 18 - -
Khem Birch 21 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Dalano Banton 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 8 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Malachi Flynn 2 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 40 10-21 3-6 1-1 4 8 2 1 24 - -
CJ McCollum * 39 11-18 6-11 1-2 3 6 1 2 29 - -
Norman Powell * 32 3-9 0-4 6-8 4 1 1 0 12 - -
Robert Covington * 23 4-7 3-5 0-0 3 2 0 3 11 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 18 2-4 0-0 1-1 14 0 0 0 5 - -
Nassir Little 24 3-7 1-4 1-2 1 1 1 0 8 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 23 7-7 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 15 - -
Anfernee Simons 16 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Tony Snell 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 1 0 - -
Cody Zeller 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter