Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.3% | 74.7% | +5.9 | ✓ (28.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +34 (136-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 27 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 20 | 2-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 17 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 17 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks | 9 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 24 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 24 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 22 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 17 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 17 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 14 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 9 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter