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2021-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 43.0% 57.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 โœ“ (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.5% 66.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 16.2% 83.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 20.3% 79.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.3% 74.7% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +18 (129-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Anthony * 36 11-19 4-8 3-4 3 11 2 0 29 - -
Franz Wagner * 35 7-14 2-3 3-5 5 3 0 1 19 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 33 6-8 3-3 0-0 9 2 1 1 15 - -
Mo Bamba * 30 2-10 1-6 0-0 8 4 3 2 5 - -
Gary Harris * 29 3-8 2-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 8 - -
Terrence Ross 26 8-19 3-12 0-0 0 2 0 0 19 - -
Chuma Okeke 24 3-10 0-4 1-1 6 1 0 0 7 - -
R.J. Hampton 14 2-5 1-2 2-4 5 5 1 0 7 - -
Moritz Wagner 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Mychal Mulder 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Clint Capela * 34 8-9 0-0 4-6 16 3 3 2 20 - -
John Collins * 31 6-12 0-2 11-14 3 3 2 2 23 - -
Trae Young * 30 9-21 3-7 2-4 4 6 1 0 23 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 29 7-11 4-8 2-4 1 4 1 0 20 - -
Kevin Huerter * 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Danilo Gallinari 28 4-10 2-4 0-0 8 3 1 1 10 - -
Cam Reddish 25 2-6 2-4 2-2 3 2 1 0 8 - -
Delon Wright 16 2-2 1-1 0-2 1 5 0 1 5 - -
Lou Williams 15 5-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Solomon Hill 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 - -
Jalen Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Sharife Cooper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Skylar Mays 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter