Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +18 (129-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Anthony * | 36 | 11-19 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 26 | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 35 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 33 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - | |
| Mo Bamba * | 30 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 26 | 8-19 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 24 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Mychal Mulder | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clint Capela * | 34 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 35 | - | |
| John Collins * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 11-14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 21 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 30 | 9-21 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 13 | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 29 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 28 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 25 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - | |
| Lou Williams | 15 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Sharife Cooper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter