Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | +3.0 | ✗ (25.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -22 (107-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 34 | 7-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 8-19 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - | |
| Chimezie Metu * | 31 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 29 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 24 | 8-14 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 17 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - | |
| Jahmi'us Ramsey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Damian Jones | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 35 | 10-20 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 23 | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 27 | 9-17 | 4-9 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 20 | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - | |
| Luka Garza | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 9 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Saben Lee | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 5 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter