Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.5% | 85.5% | +9.8 | ✓ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +29 (124-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 30 | 7-17 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 28 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 29 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| CJ Elleby | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 27 | 11-17 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 23 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 22 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 22 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| P.J. Dozier | 21 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 18 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 17 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter