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2021-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 61.2% 38.8% -
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% -
Margin 56.0% 44.0% -1.3 (24.7 off)
Pythagorean 66.3% 33.7% -
Efficiency 87.3% 12.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.9% 15.1% -
Log Adjusted 84.9% 15.1% -
Points Off/Def 74.3% 25.7% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -26 (89-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 31 9-23 3-7 5-5 5 6 2 0 26 - -
Mikal Bridges * 30 6-13 2-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 14 - -
Chris Paul * 29 6-11 2-5 1-1 3 4 7 0 15 - -
JaVale McGee * 24 9-12 0-0 1-1 14 1 1 3 19 - -
Jae Crowder * 23 2-7 1-5 0-0 6 0 1 2 5 - -
Cameron Johnson 27 2-7 2-6 4-4 6 1 2 0 10 - -
Frank Kaminsky 23 1-6 0-0 4-5 6 2 1 1 6 - -
Cameron Payne 18 5-10 2-5 1-2 2 4 1 0 13 - -
Landry Shamet 18 2-7 2-7 0-0 0 1 1 1 6 - -
Abdel Nader 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 31 5-15 2-7 0-0 6 6 2 0 12 - -
Jalen Green * 28 4-14 0-6 4-4 3 2 1 0 12 - -
Christian Wood * 26 7-12 1-5 2-4 8 1 0 0 17 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 21 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 - -
Daniel Theis * 18 3-5 2-4 0-1 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Eric Gordon 21 5-10 2-4 0-0 3 3 1 1 12 - -
Alperen Sengun 21 4-6 0-1 2-3 10 4 0 1 10 - -
Danuel House Jr. 19 1-5 0-1 2-2 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 2 6 - -
Josh Christopher 15 2-6 0-1 2-4 1 0 2 0 6 - -
Armoni Brooks 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Usman Garuba 5 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
David Nwaba 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter