Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✓ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +20 (120-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 35 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 33 | 9-21 | 1-5 | 7-12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - | |
| Pat Connaughton * | 31 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 31 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 22 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Justin Robinson | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Huerter * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| John Collins * | 31 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 31 | 16-26 | 8-13 | 2-2 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 35 | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 29 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 25 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 16 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Lou Williams | 14 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Sharife Cooper | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter