Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +8 (114-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 38 | 9-20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 26 | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 38 | 9-18 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 14 | - | |
| Derrick White * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 28 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 29 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 26 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 39 | 14-24 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 34 | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 34 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 23 | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 30 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker * | 27 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - | |
| Avery Bradley * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Wayne Ellington | 29 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 26 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter