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2021-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 51.6% 48.4% -
Bradley-Terry 49.0% 51.0% -
Margin 52.6% 47.4% -0.6 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Efficiency 62.1% 37.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Log Adjusted 64.2% 35.8% -
Points Off/Def 55.3% 44.7% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +2 (91-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 35 8-22 1-8 4-5 4 2 0 0 21 - -
Dennis Schroder * 35 10-19 2-4 6-6 4 3 0 0 28 - -
Marcus Smart * 34 0-5 0-2 2-2 4 8 5 0 2 - -
Robert Williams III * 33 6-7 0-0 0-0 16 3 1 3 12 - -
Grant Williams * 26 4-5 3-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 11 - -
Romeo Langford 28 2-5 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 0 5 - -
Payton Pritchard 15 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Jabari Parker 14 1-4 0-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 4 - -
Aaron Nesmith 11 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 39 8-13 1-2 2-2 9 1 2 3 19 - -
Darius Garland * 35 7-15 2-8 6-6 4 6 1 0 22 - -
Jarrett Allen * 28 5-5 0-0 1-2 8 1 2 0 11 - -
Dean Wade * 21 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Isaac Okoro * 17 0-7 0-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Ricky Rubio 32 4-17 2-8 6-6 5 7 1 0 16 - -
Cedi Osman 29 3-9 2-6 1-2 4 1 2 1 9 - -
Denzel Valentine 22 2-9 2-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Dylan Windler 11 0-2 0-1 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 - -

* = starter