🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 65.4% 34.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% -
Margin 35.2% 64.8% +3.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 32.9% 67.1% -
Efficiency 17.2% 82.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% -
Log Adjusted 18.7% 81.3% -
Points Off/Def 24.6% 75.4% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -6 (121-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 36 8-16 2-3 6-6 5 5 0 1 24 - -
Cade Cunningham * 32 4-10 2-8 0-0 3 4 1 1 10 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 32 9-11 0-1 2-2 4 3 0 2 20 - -
Saddiq Bey * 31 4-11 3-7 5-6 8 5 2 0 16 - -
Killian Hayes * 31 4-7 3-4 2-2 7 10 0 1 13 - -
Josh Jackson 24 6-10 2-3 1-2 4 2 0 1 15 - -
Cory Joseph 18 2-3 0-1 3-3 0 3 2 0 7 - -
Trey Lyles 17 3-3 1-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Frank Jackson 15 3-8 2-7 6-7 0 1 0 0 14 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 38 8-16 4-10 3-3 2 3 3 0 23 - -
Scottie Barnes * 38 4-10 0-0 3-4 6 4 1 0 11 - -
OG Anunoby * 37 7-14 2-8 1-2 2 0 1 1 17 - -
Pascal Siakam * 34 9-14 2-3 5-9 12 7 1 0 25 - -
Goran Dragic * 28 6-12 2-5 2-2 5 3 2 0 16 - -
Dalano Banton 18 4-6 1-1 3-4 3 2 1 0 12 - -
Khem Birch 16 1-3 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 12 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Chris Boucher 11 1-3 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Malachi Flynn 4 1-3 1-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter