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2021-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 46.1% 53.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 61.8% 38.2% - ✗
Margin 71.6% 28.4% -5.1 ✗ (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% - ✗
Efficiency 67.9% 32.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 67.2% 32.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 67.2% 32.8% - ✗
Points Off/Def 58.2% 41.8% - ✗

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +11 (112-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 37 8-17 3-5 3-3 9 10 1 0 22 - -
Steven Adams * 36 5-8 0-0 5-7 9 4 2 3 15 - -
Desmond Bane * 31 6-11 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 14 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 8-18 2-4 5-5 5 0 0 0 23 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 22 1-8 0-3 2-4 3 0 2 2 4 - -
Kyle Anderson 24 5-9 1-3 2-2 4 2 0 0 13 - -
De'Anthony Melton 18 2-6 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 - -
Ziaire Williams 16 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Brandon Clarke 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 - -
Tyus Jones 10 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonas Valanciunas * 33 6-7 3-3 0-0 9 3 1 2 15 - -
Josh Hart * 32 2-5 1-1 0-0 3 11 1 0 5 - -
Devonte' Graham * 30 6-13 0-4 3-3 4 4 1 0 15 - -
Brandon Ingram * 29 7-17 1-4 4-4 3 4 0 1 19 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 25 7-14 2-6 5-6 3 1 2 0 21 - -
Herbert Jones 29 5-10 3-4 4-4 6 0 0 1 17 - -
Tomas Satoransky 17 1-5 1-2 2-2 4 5 0 0 5 - -
Garrett Temple 16 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Jaxson Hayes 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 2 3 - -
Trey Murphy III 9 2-3 2-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 8 - -

* = starter