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2021-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 19.1% 80.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 23.7% 76.3% +6.4 (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% -
Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.3% 40.7% -
Log Adjusted 59.3% 40.7% -
Points Off/Def 51.6% 48.4% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -12 (92-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 34 6-14 3-10 2-4 10 1 1 2 17 - -
Aaron Holiday * 34 5-9 1-1 0-0 2 4 2 1 11 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 31 3-13 2-9 2-2 4 1 1 1 10 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 31 10-18 3-9 0-0 11 6 0 1 23 - -
Daniel Gafford * 26 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 1 4 - -
Montrezl Harrell 20 9-13 0-0 2-2 6 7 0 0 20 - -
Deni Avdija 18 3-4 2-3 0-0 6 1 1 1 8 - -
Raul Neto 16 4-6 1-1 0-0 1 5 1 0 9 - -
Corey Kispert 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Anthony Gill 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 34 2-11 0-1 4-4 4 0 1 1 8 - -
Cole Anthony * 33 4-16 3-9 11-12 4 8 0 1 22 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 32 6-11 4-6 1-2 7 2 3 0 17 - -
Mo Bamba * 26 6-17 2-9 0-0 17 3 1 3 14 - -
Jalen Suggs * 24 4-10 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 8 - -
Terrence Ross 31 3-9 1-5 0-0 2 4 0 0 7 - -
R.J. Hampton 24 3-8 1-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 8 - -
Chuma Okeke 18 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Gary Harris 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Moritz Wagner 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter