Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.5% | 40.5% | -2.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -6 (105-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 37 | 10-23 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 35 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 34 | 8-14 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 33 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 14 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 37 | 8-19 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 34 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 28 | 8-19 | 6-13 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 32 | 8-17 | 4-13 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter