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2021-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 30.4% 69.6% -
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% -
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 (19.2 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% -
Efficiency 23.2% 76.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.2% 73.8% -
Log Adjusted 26.1% 73.9% -
Points Off/Def 29.9% 70.1% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +26 (119-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 36 2-11 1-7 0-0 3 3 4 1 5 5 -
DeMar DeRozan * 35 4-13 1-3 9-10 2 5 1 0 18 13 -
Zach LaVine * 34 10-17 2-4 1-2 6 0 1 0 23 13 -
Javonte Green * 16 1-5 0-3 1-2 4 0 0 0 3 2 -
Tony Bradley * 13 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 3 6 -
Alex Caruso 24 2-6 0-4 0-0 3 5 1 0 4 7 -
Alize Johnson 21 4-7 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 9 10 -
Derrick Jones Jr. 20 3-3 1-1 2-2 6 1 1 0 9 14 -
Ayo Dosunmu 16 2-6 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 1 -
Tyler Cook 12 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 6 7 -
Troy Brown Jr. 4 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Matt Thomas 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 34 15-24 9-17 1-1 4 5 1 1 40 27 -
Jordan Poole * 31 5-12 2-9 2-2 1 2 3 0 14 8 -
Andrew Wiggins * 29 5-15 0-4 5-7 7 2 2 1 15 12 -
Draymond Green * 28 4-6 1-1 0-0 9 7 1 0 9 20 -
Kevon Looney * 20 1-5 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 0 4 10 -
Gary Payton II 20 3-6 0-3 2-2 5 0 3 0 8 10 -
Andre Iguodala 18 3-4 0-1 2-2 1 3 1 1 8 10 -
Nemanja Bjelica 15 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 4 1 0 6 7 -
Jonathan Kuminga 15 4-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 4 -
Otto Porter Jr. 15 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 5 6 -
Moses Moody 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 -

* = starter