Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +9 (105-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Collins * | 39 | 11-22 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 32 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 9-10 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 30 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 17 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 10-22 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 35 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 31 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 30 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| P.J. Dozier | 22 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 21 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter